Showing posts with label MYR depreciation. Show all posts
Showing posts with label MYR depreciation. Show all posts

Wednesday, 28 October 2015

Ringgit depreciation: what will I do?

A lot of people are (discussing about) converting MYR to foreign currency. You can see this from the foreign currency account offered by some banks, e.g., Maybank and Public bank. This was what I thought a few months ago. I have a second thought now: I decided to do nothing.

Firstly, the current exchange rate is about 4.2. I believe there is really not much room left for depreciation.

Secondly, it is really too little too late to convert to foreign currency now. This should have been done before it broke 3.8.

Thirdly, I speculated that the BNM will raise the overnight policy rate in September's meeting, as a move to "save" the currency. But BNM kept the interest rate unchanged. On surface, it shows that BNM does not want to intervene the movement of MYR. On a deeper level though, perhaps they see that MYR will go back to its reasonable value after those "exogenous factors" are gone?

Finally, I can profit from the KLSE to cover the currency depreciation. :D

Now that MYR seems to stabilize around this value, which is not that bad. A possible trend is to lingering around this point for sometime before changing direction. Whatever direction it goes, MYR should still be "safe" in a few years to come.